Recent Polling in Arizona’s 7th Congressional District reveals Gallego is in the Lead

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To: Interested Parties
From: Joshua Ulibarri and Geoff Puryear
Re: Recent Polling in Arizona’s 7th Congressional District

Date: July 28, 2014

A recent survey among likely August 2014 Democratic primary voters in Arizona’s 7th Congressional District shows that former State Representative Ruben Gallego holds a clear, 8- point lead over Mary Rose Wilcox. The poll finds that Gallego has strengthened his position since the spring and that Wilcox’s attacks on Gallego have backfired, damaging her own favorability ratings without affecting Gallego’s. As the campaign heads into its final month it is clear that given the resources, Gallego is in a strong position to win this race.

Gallego’s continued lead is fueled by two main factors:

First, despite Wilcox’s attacks, Gallego is more popular than he was at the beginning of the campaign – and he has grown stronger. In May, 43% of voters viewed Gallego favorably and 6% viewed him unfavorably for a net favorable rating of +37. Today Gallego is viewed favorably by 51% of voters and unfavorably by just 11%, for a net favorable rating of +39. In other words, Gallego’s positive, issue-focused campaign has improved his popularity, even as the Wilcox campaign made false attacks on Gallego over issues such as his name.

Second, Wilcox’s attacks on Gallego have backfired and she is more unpopular than she was before the attacks began. During this same period, Wilcox’s popularity has eroded. In May, 48% of likely voter viewed Wilcox favorably and 27% viewed her unfavorably for a net favorable rating of +22. Today, just 40% view her favorably and 30% view her unfavorably, for a net favorable rating of only +11, which is 11 points lower than before her attacks on Gallego began.

The implications are clear: Gallego is leading and is well positioned to become Arizona’s next Member of Congress. As this campaign enters its final stages, Gallego holds a significant lead over Wilcox and is viewed much more favorably than her.

i Methods: Lake Research Partners designed and administered this survey and it was conducted by telephone using professional interviewers July 20-22, 2014. Both landlines and cell phones were called. The survey reached a total of 400 likely August 2014 Democratic Primary voters in Arizona’s 7th Congressional District. Telephone numbers for the sample were generated from a list of registered voters in Arizona. The data were weighted slightly by race, age, region, party registration, and gender. The margin of error is +/- 4.9% and larger for subgroups.

i Methods: Lake Research Partners designed and administered this survey and it was conducted by telephone using professional interviewers July 20-22, 2014. Both landlines and cell phones were called. The survey reached a total of 400 likely August 2014 Democratic Primary voters in Arizona’s 7th Congressional District. Telephone numbers for the sample were generated from a list of registered voters in Arizona. The data were weighted slightly by race, age, region, party registration, and gender. The margin of error is +/- 4.9% and larger for subgroups.

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My son, Ruben Gallego

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It has come to my attention that one of Ruben’s opponents is alleging that he changed his last name in order to somehow deceive voters.

Let me put all these rumors to rest so we can focus about what is really important in this election and not waste energy on rumors of why he did this or why he did that.

Ruben changed his name because he wanted to honor his grandfather who was a hard working immigrant. He also wanted to honor me a single mom, who like millions of single moms out there sacrifice ourselves so that our children can have a better life than we did.

All of us single mothers never get credit for what we do for our children, but Ruben wanted to give me credit for all of my sacrifices by changing his last name to our family name.

I’m proud that Ruben changed his name. But I’m more proud that he is a Harvard Graduate, a Marine and most important a great son, husband, brother and someone who is always pushing other young men like him to follow their dreams no matter how unreachable they may seem.

My father was a father figure to Ruben when his dad left us. I’m grateful that Ruben saw firsthand how hard his grandfather worked, and how much care he took into raising his eight children and grandchildren.

All of my daughters look up to Ruben because to them he was like the father they didn’t have. My daughters are confident and strong young women, who saw in their brother a friend, and occasional savior, when I got upset with them.

I couldn’t be prouder of my son and how he has decided to live his life, and that includes him changing his name to honor my family.

Now let’s move past this nonsense and let the candidates go out and prove themselves to the voters on the merits and issues. I know that’s what my son Ruben will do.

Elisa Gallego

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Gallego Statement on Name Change

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FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE:
June 12, 2014

CONTACT:
info@gallegoforarizona.com

Gallego Statement on Name Change

PHOENIX, AZ — Ruben Gallego released the following statement regarding a legal challenge to the use of his last name on the ballot being promoted by Mary Rose Wilcox:

“I was raised by a single mom and changed my name to honor the woman who raised me. I have been very open about this decision and the circumstance behind it.”

“My mom is an immigrant and struggled every day to raise four kids on her own. Our family never had enough, but she gave all she had to make sure her kids got an education and an opportunity to succeed. Two of us went to Harvard on scholarships, and my sister is going to be a doctor. My mom’s last name is Gallego.”

“My father abandoned my family when I was young. His choice to leave made my life and the lives of my three sisters much harder. I slept on the floor until I went to college and my sisters and I had to rely on the free lunch program to make sure we ate. His last name is Marinelarena.”

“My mom is the reason I have had so many incredible opportunities in my life. I’m very proud to have her name.”

“In the state legislature, I fought to make sure working mothers like my own were not taken advantage of by a system that already makes it extremely difficult to raise a child on your own. In Congress, I’ll continue to fight for working moms because I know firsthand how far they go for their kids.”

Paid for by Gallego for Arizona

Gallego for Arizona
PO Box 1710
Phoenix AZ 85001-1710 United States

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Ruben Gallego Leads in Polls for Arizona’s Congressional District 7

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To:       Interested Parties

From:  Joshua Ulibarri, Lake Research Partners

Re:      Polling in Arizona’s 7th Congressional District, Democratic Primary[i]

Date:  May 27, 2014

A recent survey among likely Democratic primary voters in Arizona’s 7th Congressional District shows former State Representative Ruben Gallego leading Maricopa County Supervisor Mary Rose Wilcox. Gallego leads with 38% to 32% for Wilcox (29% are undecided). Gallego is advantaged because he is nearly as personally popular as Wilcox, but does not carry the same personal unfavorable ratings she does. Further, voters view Gallego’s job performance net-positively, while they view Wilcox’s performance net-negatively. Gallego is in the driver’s seat in this close race. If he has the political and financial support to reach voters and communicate his message, he is likely to be the next Congressman from this area.

Gallego is advantaged for two main reasons:

First, Gallego is nearly as well liked as Wilcox, but does not carry the burden of her higher unfavorable ratings. Overall, 43% of voters rate Gallego favorably, compared to just 6% who rate him unfavorably; a 7:1 favorable to unfavorable ratio. Meanwhile, Wilcox is rated favorably by 48% of voters, but more than a quarter (27%) rate her unfavorably.  That is a ratio of less than 2:1 and well below Gallego’s 7:1 pace.

Second, voters give Gallego strongly positive job performance ratings as State Representative, but are critical of Wilcox’s performance as County Supervisor. Overall, 42% of voters rate Gallego’s job performance as either excellent (8%) or good (34%), while just 23% rate his performance as either just fair or poor. That is a positive relationship by 19 points.  On the other hand, voters are critical of Wilcox’s job performance. Thirty-nine percent rate her job as either excellent (12%) or good (27%), but 45% rate it as just fair (27%) or poor (18%). That is a negative relationship by six points, well below Gallego’s net-positive score of 19 points.

In summary, former State Representative Ruben Gallego leads the Democratic Primary for Congress. He leads by six points overall (38% to 32%). Gallego’s personal and political bases are as strong as Wilcox’s. The meaningful difference is that Wilcox is weighed down by more negative personal and job performance ratings. If Gallego has the funding to take advantage of his stronger positioning, he will likely win the August primary and be the next United States Representative from this area.


[i] Methodology: Lake Research Partners designed and administered this survey and it was conducted by telephone using professional interviewers May 20 – 22, 2014. Both landlines and cell phones were called. The survey reached a total of 401 likely August Democratic primary voters. The margin of error for the total sample is +/- 4.9% and larger for sub-groups. Lake Research Partners’ national headquarters are in Washington, D.C. Joshua Ulibarri, a partner at the firm, works from Phoenix, Arizona.

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Ruben Gallego: “Repeal ‘Citizens United'”

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“Citizens United is one of the biggest threats to our democracy that we have ever seen. In Congress, I will push to repeal Citizens United and support legislation ending so-called ‘Corporate Personhood.’” — Ruben Gallego 

I started out in politics as an organizer because I believe the most effective and honest way to rally a community is for its members to engage in a frank conversation with each other about what they want for their collective future.

Grassroots organizing is the purest form of democratic expression, and I believe in its impact and value for a community. But thanks to a series of recent Supreme Court decisions, there has been a dramatic shift in how campaigns can be financed that removes power from community leaders on the ground and gives it to major corporations and the ultra-rich.

The Citizens United decision is one of the biggest threats to our democracy that we have ever seen. Corporations should not be able to influence elections through shadowy groups that aren’t required to disclose donor information. In too many elections across the country, millions of dollars from unknown sources are being used to mislead voters and swing elections in favor of corporate interests. It’s wrong and it has to end.

As a member of Congress, I will push to repeal Citizens United and support legislation ending so-called “Corporate Personhood.” I do not believe corporations should be granted the same political and speech rights as individuals, nor do I believe they should be allowed to contribute funds to influencing elections — especially without having to disclose or cap their donations.

Additionally, I will push for more transparency and disclosure requirements for political groups. It’s absurd that groups are able play a shell game with donations from corporations and the ultra-rich to disguise the motivations or interests behind multi-million dollar ad campaigns.

I know these reforms will face enormous opposition from those who benefit from Citizens United. But the stakes are too high to duck this fight. We need to take our democracy back.

RubenLogo325

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Arizona House Minority Leader Chad Campbell Endorses Gallego for Congress

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FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE:
April 28, 2014

CONTACT:
info@gallegoforarizona.com

Arizona House Minority Leader Chad Campbell Endorses Gallego for Congress

PHOENIX, AZ – Chad Campbell, the Minority Leader of Arizona’s House of Representatives, today endorsed Ruben Gallego for Congress.

“For Arizona Democrats, it is rare that we get the opportunity to elect a bright, young and new leader to Congress,” said Campbell. “From working very closely with Ruben for years, I know he is a smart leader who gets results – but I also know that Ruben will stand up for the principles Arizona Democrats hold dear.”

“This election also has enormous long-term implications for Democrats here in Arizona,” Campbell added. “The key to turning Arizona blue is activating new and young voters in this district. To do that, we need an exciting young leader for a new generation. Through Ruben’s service to his country and state, he has demonstrated a real commitment to service that young voters are looking for. And through his endless support of Democratic candidates and causes here in Arizona, I know he will do the tough work behind the scenes to turn Arizona blue.”

Campbell has served in the Arizona House of Representatives since 2007. He is in his fourth year of leading the House Democrats. Campbell and Gallego recently partnered to lead Democrats during their successful campaign against SB 1062, which resulted in Governor Brewer’s veto. Campbell represents much of Central Phoenix, including parts of the Seventh Congressional District.

ABOUT RUBEN GALLEGO

Ruben Gallego is the child of Hispanic immigrants, raised by a single mom on the South Side of Chicago. Ruben enlisted in the Marines while attending Harvard, where he earned a bachelor’s degree in International Relations. After graduating, Ruben served a tour in Iraq as a Marine with Lima 3/25. Ruben’s Marine Corps unit saw some of the toughest combat of the war.

Ruben was elected to the Arizona House of Representatives in 2010 and became known for his tough stand against extreme legislation pushed by Republicans, helping lead the opposition to the discriminatory SB 1062. As a legislator he also lead the push for Medicaid Expansion and secured in-state tuition for veterans. Ruben and his wife Kate live in South Mountain.

 

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